Friday, November 3, 2017

How to Create a Statistically Significant Fund of Funds from Balanced Mutual Funds

(Click on the image to enlarge)
1. Screening Funds: It's important to select funds with very similar attributes which, in turn, enhances collinearity of the portfolio. In selecting the above funds, the following set of criteria has been used: NAV > $7B; Morningstar Rating = 4 to 5; Track > 10 years; Yield = Positive; YTD Return > 8%.

2. Balanced Funds: Balanced Mutual Funds are inherently diversified (40-60% in stable/dividend stocks, 30-40% in fixed incomes and balance in Cash, Precious metals and other debt instruments). Since these funds are self-hedged by design, meaning stocks hedged by bonds etc., no additional hedge component is needed.

3. Fund of Funds: In order to create a statistically significant Fund of Funds from a group of Balanced Mutual Funds, it is imperative to draw them from a highly correlated group, as shown in the correlation matrix above. Thus, while reducing the number of funds, the "least" collinearity must be adhered to. For instance, since Dodge and Cox shows lower collinearity than its peers, it must be removed first from this line-up.

4. Risk Mitigation: A Fund of Funds  is more prudent from the investment point of view as it helps reduce the general risk embedded in a single balanced fund (risk scenarios: merger, change of ownership, departure of a veteran portfolio manager, etc.). 

Therefore, instead of investing $100K in one balanced fund, it's better to spread the sum over a group of highly correlated balanced funds (highly correlated funds tend to project very similar attributes).


Data - The above matrix is compiled off of the aforesaid Fund NAV's between 01-03-2017 and 11-02-2017.

Disclaimer - The author is not advocating any of the funds listed here; instead, this is promoted as an alternative research in creating a statistical fund of funds. Consult your Registered Rep, RIA or Financial Planner for an appropriate asset allocation model and the suitability of mutual funds and other instruments.  

--Sid Som

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